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Vilkaviskis vs Silute: match prediction on 15 October 2026

NKL Vilkaviškis Sports Center Vilkaviškis Pending Match page
Vilkaviskis Silute

Prediction for

Win: Vilkaviskis

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

61% 1
39% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:05

Vilkaviskis win at 70% confidence. The home side has dominated this fixture for years and the model expects them to outscore Silute by roughly eight points.

Recent form is identical on paper

Both sides have won two and lost three in their last five matches. Vilkaviskis sits on six points from those games, scoring 425 and conceding 421. Silute also has six points but has scored 388 while letting in 402. The record looks the same, but the margins tell a different story. Vilkaviskis has won by 19 points against Kauno Atletas and 19 against Kretinga. Silute's victories were narrower — eight points over Plunges Olimpas and eight over Vilniaus Stekas. The home side's wins have been more convincing.

Vilkaviskis owns this fixture

They have won nine of the fourteen meetings over the years. Silute has taken five. In the last six encounters Vilkaviskis leads five to one. The most recent meeting on 4 April ended 99:86 at home for Vilkaviskis. Before that, 100:95 on the road. The pattern is consistent — Vilkaviskis wins, often by a comfortable margin. Silute's only victory in that span came on 15 November 2025, 96:90 at home. They have not beaten Vilkaviskis since.

The model sees a home win

The projection puts Vilkaviskis at 87 points and Silute at 79.7. That is a difference of 7.3 points, which lines up with the historical pattern. The model assigns a 0% chance of a draw and 0% for neither team to reach a target total — in basketball terms, it expects a decisive result with both sides putting points on the board. The margin matches what Vilkaviskis has produced in recent victories.

Offence vs defence

Vilkaviskis averages 85 points per game across their last five matches. Silute averages 77.6. On defence, Vilkaviskis has allowed 84.2 per game while Silute has conceded 80.4. The gap is not large, but Vilkaviskis has shown it can outscore opponents more consistently. Their two wins came with scorelines of 84:76 and 84:65 — both above 80 points. Silute's wins were 80:72 and 92:85. The home side's ceiling is higher.

When the prediction breaks

A draw would overturn this conclusion, but the model rates that at 0%. Given Vilkaviskis has won nine of fourteen meetings, such a reversal would be a genuine upset.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:05
  • Вилкавишкис, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Шилуте, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 14 games, Вилкавишкис — 9, Шилуте — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Vilkaviskis LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
Silute LWWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 22

11Vilkaviskis 0Draw 11Silute
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+