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Vilniaus Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2: match prediction on 8 October 2026
Vilniaus Stekas
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Prediction for
Win: Zalgiris Kaunas 2
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
40%
1
60%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05- Вильнюс Стекас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Жальгирис Каунас 2, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Вильнюс Стекас — 1, Жальгирис Каунас 2 — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Vilniaus Stekas
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 6
1Vilniaus Stekas
0Draw
5Zalgiris Kaunas 2
- 3 JanVilniaus Stekas — Zalgiris Kaunas 264:71
- 30 Oct 2025Zalgiris Kaunas 2 — Vilniaus Stekas116:84
- 9 Jan 2024Zalgiris Kaunas 2 — Vilniaus Stekas74:75
- 18 Nov 2023Vilniaus Stekas — Zalgiris Kaunas 261:79
- 17 Dec 2022Zalgiris Kaunas 2 — Vilniaus Stekas74:68
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05Vilniaus Stekas defeated Žalgiris Kaunas 2 in the NKL on 08 October 2026, ending a streak where the visitors had claimed five victories in the last six meetings. The result was a surprise given that Žalgiris Kaunas 2 had won five of the previous six meetings between the sides. Vilniaus Stekas, who were 1-4 in their last five matches, secured a victory that halted a run of four defeats.
Form and Context
The hosts entered the match with poor recent form, having won only once in their last five games and scoring 453 points while conceding 472. Žalgiris Kaunas 2 came into the fixture with better momentum, recording three wins and two losses in their previous five outings. They had scored 464 points and conceded 448 during that period. The visitors had also won the most recent encounter in January 2026, 71-64.
Match Outcome
This victory marked the first time Vilniaus Stekas had beaten Žalgiris Kaunas 2 in their last six meetings. Žalgiris Kaunas 2's recent form included a win against Vilkaviskis on 01 October and a victory away to Alytaus Patriotai on 28 September. Despite these results, they failed to replicate their previous dominance over the home side.