Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis: match prediction on 1 October 2026

Žalgiris Kaunas 2 beat Vilkaviskis in NKL

Žalgiris Kaunas 2 secured a victory against Vilkaviskis in the NKL on 1 October 2026. The bookmaker's pick for a home win carried a confidence level of 56 per cent, and the result confirmed that assessment. Žalgiris Kaunas 2 entered the match with two wins and three losses in their previous five games, while the visitors had lost their last five consecutive fixtures without scoring a single point. The hosts also held a historical advantage, having won ten of the seventeen meetings recorded over recent years.

The form of the two sides prior to the final whistle highlighted a disconnect between expectations and reality for the away team. Their last five outings resulted in 381 points scored against 427 conceded, indicating a consistent struggle in both attack and defence. Žalgiris Kaunas 2, by contrast, had managed to find the net in 429 matches while allowing 422 in the same period.

Žalgiris Kaunas 2 had previously beaten Vilkaviskis 71-70 in December 2025, but the visitors had responded with a 92-81 win in March 2026. The overall head-to-head record from the detailed log provided shows Žalgiris Kaunas 2 winning two of the six listed matches, while Vilkaviskis took four. Despite the visitors' recent success in this specific subset of games, the home side's momentum from their September win against Alytaus Patriotai appears to have been the deciding factor.

The statistical model predicting the match had estimated Žalgiris Kaunas 2 would score 83.4 points compared to Vilkaviskis's 79.5. The probability of a draw was calculated at zero per cent, and the likelihood of both teams scoring was also placed at zero per cent.