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Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women: match prediction on 18 October 2026

T20 Spring Challenge Blundstone Arena Hobart Miss Match page
Hobart Hurricanes Women Melbourne Renegades Women

Prediction for

Win: Hobart Hurricanes Women

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 16 Oct, 00:05

Match Report: Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women

Both teams entered the fixture tied on two points after two matches, with Hobart occupying sixth place and Melbourne Renegades seventh in the standings. The result leaves both sides with identical records of one win and one loss, maintaining their relative positions in the table.

Hobart Hurricanes Women had recently lost by 29 runs to Adelaide Strikers Women on 14 October 2026, while Melbourne Renegades Women had secured a narrow one-run victory over Melbourne Stars Women the same day. In terms of recent form over five matches, Hobart had recorded three wins and one loss compared to Melbourne Renegades' two wins and three losses. The head-to-head record showed seven meetings, with Hobart winning four and Melbourne Renegades three, though the most recent encounter on 20 November 2025 saw Melbourne Renegades defeat Hobart 155 to 106.

The statistical model had projected Hobart Hurricanes Women to score 144.6 runs and Melbourne Renegades Women 136.5 runs.

This result impacts the tournament standings, with both teams remaining level on two points following their respective second matches in the T20 Spring Challenge. The outcome contrasts with the head-to-head trend, where Hobart Hurricanes Women had historically held a slight edge in previous meetings.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 16 Oct, 00:05
  • Хобарт Хурриканс Женщины — 5. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Мельбурн Ренегейдс (жен.) — 6. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Хобарт Хурриканс Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Мельбурн Ренегейдс (жен.), last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Хобарт Хурриканс Женщины — 4, Мельбурн Ренегейдс (жен.) — 3

Key factors

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+