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Leicestershire vs Hampshire: match prediction on 15 September 2026
Leicestershire
Hampshire
Prediction for
Win: Hampshire
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
57%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 10:33- Лестершир — 9. place, 116 points after 8 games (2 wins, 6 losses)
- Хэмпшир — 10. place, 92 points after 9 games (2 wins, 7 losses)
- Лестершир, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Хэмпшир, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Лестершир — 3, Хэмпшир — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Leicestershire
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Hampshire
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 6
3Leicestershire
0Draw
3Hampshire
- 15 Aug 2025Hampshire — Leicestershire253/3:252
- 16 Aug 2024Leicestershire — Hampshire291/7:290/8
- 16 Sep 2023Hampshire — Leicestershire265/8:267/7
- 13 Aug 2023Hampshire — Leicestershire296:298/6
- 19 May 2021Hampshire — Leicestershire233 & forfeit:84 & 26/1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Sep, 10:33Hampshire to edge Leicestershire in a match where the visitors' superior head-to-head record in the Championship format outweighs the home advantage, with 57% confidence in the away side.
Hampshire win at cost of Leicestershire's home advantage
Leicestershire sit ninth on 116 points from eight matches, while Hampshire are one place and 24 points adrift in tenth after nine games. Both sides have won twice and lost the rest, but Hampshire's heavier burden of fixtures means they have less margin for error.
Leicestershire's recent form shows three defeats in their last five matches, including a heavy 302-679 loss to Somerset at home and a 365-629 defeat away to Nottinghamshire. They have scored 1462 runs and conceded 2217 across those five games. Hampshire have fared worse with one victory and four losses, scoring 1902 runs while letting in 1852. Their only win in that span came against Glamorgan away, where they posted 462 to 182.
The model expects Leicestershire to score 229 runs and Hampshire 252.1, with a 0% probability of a draw and 0% for both sides scoring.
Leicestershire struggle to win at home. A draw is the real danger.
Outcome: Hampshire win | Confidence: 57%