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Nepal vs Oman: match prediction on 10 September 2026

ACC Men's Premier Cup Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground Kirtipur Pending Match page
Nepal Oman

Prediction for

Win: Nepal

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 08:21

Nepal should win this ACC Men's Premier Cup clash against Oman unless their recent scoring pattern breaks down. The hosts lead the table by two points and have won four of the last six meetings between these sides.

Nepal sit top with 6 points from 4 matches — 3 wins, 1 loss. Oman are second with 4 points from 4 matches, 2 wins and 2 losses. A win keeps Nepal clear at the top.

Recent form supports the hosts. Nepal have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including tight victories over Malaysia 106:103 and Bahrain 88:87 on consecutive away trips. Their only losses came against Hong Kong 246:261 and Victoria CA XI 142:146 — both by narrow margins. Oman's record is worse: 2 wins from 5, with defeats to United Arab Emirates 143:192 and Kuwait 252:256 showing they can struggle against stronger opposition.

The head-to-head history leans heavily toward Nepal. In the last six meetings, Nepal have won 4, Oman 2. The most recent encounter on 7 June 2026 was a thriller — Nepal 95:94 Oman in the Asian Games qualifier. That match went down to the wire and Nepal held their nerve. Before that, Nepal won 256:175 at home in May 2026. Oman's victories came in 2024 against Nepal in Canada, not in competitive ACC or World Cup League 2 matches.

Nepal average 193 in their last five; Oman concede 176. The gap closes if Nepal's openers fail early. Three or more runs difference is expected — which, given the margins in recent Nepal matches, points toward a comfortable home victory.

Nepal's edge vanishes if the top order falls early. Nepal's middle order has cracked under pressure twice this tournament. If an early wicket falls and the middle order fails to rebuild, Oman's bowlers could exploit that weakness. Oman have beaten Singapore 316:185 at home, so they are capable of posting totals when their top order fires.

There is no team news available for either side. The match takes place on 10 September 2026 at 01:30 UTC.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 08:21
  • Непал — 1. place, 6 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
  • Оман — 2. place, 4 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
  • Непал, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Оман, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 11 games, Непал — 5, 1 draws, Оман — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nepal LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Oman LWWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 18

10Nepal 1Draw 7Oman
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+