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Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Sydney Thunder Women vs Perth Scorchers Women: match prediction on 18 October 2026
Sydney Thunder Women
Perth Scorchers Women
Prediction for
Win: Sydney Thunder Women
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
43%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Oct, 04:45- Сидней Тандер Женщины — 3. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Перт Скорчерс Женщины — 4. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Сидней Тандер Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Перт Скорчерс Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Сидней Тандер Женщины — 5, Перт Скорчерс Женщины — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sydney Thunder Women
WWWWW
5 wins
Perth Scorchers Women
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 12
6Sydney Thunder Women
0Draw
6Perth Scorchers Women
- 19 Nov 2025Sydney Thunder Women — Perth Scorchers Women154/1:150/7
- 15 Nov 2024Perth Scorchers Women — Sydney Thunder Women170/5:173/3
- 12 Nov 2024Sydney Thunder Women — Perth Scorchers Women97:171/7
- 16 Oct 2024Sydney Thunder Women — Perth Scorchers Women183/3:122/9
- 18 Nov 2023Sydney Thunder Women — Perth Scorchers Women120/1:116/8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Oct, 04:45Sydney Thunder Women are the side to back, with the model placing their win probability at 57%. The edge comes from home advantage and a head-to-head record that has swung in their favour recently, even though both sides enter with identical win-loss profiles.
The Thunder have played only one match this season and taken maximum points, beating Melbourne Stars Women 79-78 on 12 October 2026. Perth have played twice, winning 139-138 against the Renegades but losing 182-183 to Adelaide the following day. Both sides have won three and lost two in their last five outings overall, but Sydney's single outing this campaign means they carry fresher momentum into this fixture.
Head-to-head balance
Sydney have won four of the six meetings listed here, including the most recent encounter on 19 November 2025 when they edged Perth 154-150. Perth's victories came in 2024 and 2023, but the pattern suggests Sydney hold the edge when the sides meet. The margin of victory in the last two Sydney wins was narrow, indicating this will be decided by fine margins.
Table position
The difference in games played matters less in a short tournament, but Sydney's unbeaten start carries psychological weight. Perth will need to recover from their opening defeat if they are to climb higher.
Model expectations
The simulation projects Sydney to score 138.9 runs and Perth 131.2, a difference of roughly seven runs. The model assigns 0% probability to a draw or to either side failing to score, which points toward a high-scoring, tightly contested match. The expected run totals suggest both batting line-ups will fire, but Sydney's slight edge in the projection reflects their home advantage.
When the conclusion breaks
A win for Perth becomes likely if their top order fails to build partnerships early, as their recent results show they can post big totals but also collapse under pressure. Sydney's confidence could waver if their opening pair is dismissed cheaply, given their single outing this season provides limited recent match sharpness.