Ajax vs Excelsior: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Eredivisie 19 Sep, 19:00 Johan Cruyff Arena Amsterdam Pending Match page

Ajax

Excelsior

Prediction for

Win: Ajax

46%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

46% 1

26% X

28% 2

Prediction fixed 17 Sep, 19:05 and will not change after kick-off

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 19:05

Аякс — 4. place, 13 points after 6 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
Эксельсиор — 6. place, 10 points after 6 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
Аякс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
Эксельсиор, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
Head-to-head: 6 games, Аякс — 2, 3 draws, Эксельсиор — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ajax WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Excelsior LWWDL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 6

2Ajax 3Draw 1Excelsior

All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

How forecasts are made

We analyse team form, match statistics, head-to-head record and line-ups.
The model estimates the probability of each outcome (1X2).
A forecast is fixed before kick-off and is never changed afterwards.
Accuracy counts only finished events.

About the method

Model statistics

6350 checked predictions

2825 successful

3525 unsuccessful

More about accuracy

Eredivisie

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