Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
Aktobe Jas vs Tobol 2: match prediction on 8 October 2026
Aktobe Jas
Tobol 2
Prediction for
Win: Aktobe Jas
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
50%
1
18%
X
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:05- Актобе Жас — 12. place, 23 points after 23 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 12 losses)
- Тобол 2 — 13. place, 16 points after 23 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 15 losses)
- Актобе Жас, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Тобол 2, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Актобе Жас — 0, 1 draws, Тобол 2 — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Aktobe Jas
WWLLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Tobol 2
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 1
0Aktobe Jas
1Draw
0Tobol 2
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 12:05Aktobe Jas to win – 62% confidence
The model expects Aktobe Jas Jas to score 2.7 goals while Tobol 2 is projected for 2.3, and that half-goal edge matters in a fixture where both sides have demonstrated they can find the net but also concede freely. Their only meeting this season ended 5:5, a result that tells you everything about the defensive standards at this level and nothing about who will come out on top today.
Aktobe Jas Jas sit 12th with 23 points from 23 matches, while Tobol 2 are 13th on 16 points. Both teams have played the same number of games and won the same number recently — two victories and three defeats in their last five outings — but the gap in the table reflects a longer pattern of results. Aktobe have taken 23 points from 23 games compared to Tobol 2's 16.
Both sides are vulnerable at different stages of games. Aktobe Jas Jas concede 40% of their goals in the opening 30 minutes, while Tobol 2 have let in 24% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minute. Tobol 2 are more dangerous late on, scoring 27% of their goals after the 75th minute, whereas Aktobe Jas have distributed their attacks more evenly across the second half with 30% coming in the 46-60 minute window.
The model's 85% probability for both teams to score aligns with what the numbers show. Aktobe Jas Jas have scored 30 goals and conceded 49; Tobol 2 have scored 30 and conceded 42. Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly, and neither is particularly stingy. The 88% probability for three or more goals in the match follows naturally from those figures.
The three most likely scorelines are all one-goal margins or a draw: 2:2 at 6%, 3:2 at 6%, and 2:1 at 6%. Aktobe Jas Jas winning 2:1 is where the model places its weight, combining their higher expected goals with Tobol 2's tendency to concede heavily in the first half. A 3:2 result is equally probable.
A draw would suit Tobol 2's approach to running the clock down in the closing stages, and given their 27% of goals come after the 75th minute, that is the main threat to this conclusion. If the match stays level at 1:1 or 2:2 going into the final 15 minutes, Tobol 2 have shown they can find a goal when it matters most.