Albion FC vs Progreso: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Albion FC maintain third place with victory over Progreso

The hosts entered the game with a superior record, boasting eight wins, four draws, and three defeats, compared to Progreso’s two victories, four draws, and nine losses.

The encounter followed a meeting just four days prior on 3 September, which Albion FC won 2-1 in the Copa Uruguay. In that previous fixture, Albion had also performed well, while Progreso suffered another defeat. Over the last five matches, Albion managed one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring five goals and conceding seven. Progreso’s form was more precarious, with one win and four losses in the same period, netting two goals and letting in seven.

Statistics indicate that Albion FC averaged 54 per cent possession and 2.78 shots on target in their last ten games, while Progreso recorded 43 per cent possession and 3.4 shots on target. Head-to-head history shows Albion won three of the last six encounters, with one draw and two victories for Progreso. Goals scored by Albion were distributed across the match, with 21 per cent in the opening 15 minutes, 11 per cent between 16 and 30 minutes, and similar proportions later on. Progreso scored 42 per cent of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Odds movements before the match suggested confidence in Albion FC, with the home win line dropping from 2.18 to 2.10, representing a 3.7 per cent swing. The draw price rose slightly from 3.23 to 3.26, while the away win for Progreso increased from 3.19 to 3.31. A prediction model estimated Albion would score 1.3 goals and Progreso 0.7, with a 34 per cent chance of three or more goals in the game.