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Anguilla vs Aruba: match preview on 30 September 2026

CONCACAF Nations League Sir Vivian Richards Stadium North Sound Pending Match page
Anguilla Aruba

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 29 Sep, 00:18

Aruba to win this CONCACAF Nations League clash. The visitors bring four victories from their last five matches while Anguilla have managed only one win in the same period, and that disparity in results is the clearest indicator of what to expect on 29 September.

Anguilla have no reason to reverse their recent pattern. They have lost four of their last five outings, conceding 15 goals while scoring just three. The most recent result was a 0:5 defeat away to Antigua and Barbuda, and before that a 0:1 loss to Dominica. Their only positive result in this sequence came against Bahamas on 26 March, when they won 3:1 at home. Since then they have failed to score in three consecutive matches and have not kept a clean sheet since November 2025.

Aruba arrive with momentum. They have won four of their last five games, including a 1:0 victory over Antigua and Barbuda at home on 23 September. Their only setback in that run was a 0:4 friendly defeat away to Curaçao in June. They have scored 12 goals in five matches and conceded just six. They have won at home against Liechtenstein 4:1 and Macao 4:1, and won away to Barbados 3:0.

Aruba average 4.75 shots on target per match compared to Anguilla's 2, and they control 52% possession while Anguilla manage 35%. Aruba score 2.4 goals per match on average and concede 1.2, while Anguilla score 0.6 and concede 3.

This shifts if Anguilla find a way to exploit the period between 31 and 45 minutes, where they have scored 33% of their goals while Aruba have conceded none in that segment. Alternatively, if Aruba repeat their tendency to concede 50% of their goals after 76 minutes, Anguilla could avoid defeat from the match.

Match details: Anguilla vs Aruba, CONCACAF Nations League, 29 September 2026, 23:00 UTC.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Anguilla LLLLL 5 losses
Aruba WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+