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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: match prediction on 4 October 2026

UEFA Nations League Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu Baku Pending Match page
Azerbaijan Lithuania

Prediction for

Slight edge: Lithuania

49%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41% 1
31% X
29% 2

Average bookmaker line (49)

2.30 1
3.05 X
3.23 2

Odds range

3.00 — 3.40

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Oct, 14:05
  • Азербайджан — 2. place, 2 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Литва — 1. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Азербайджан, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
  • Литва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Азербайджан — 0, 1 draws, Литва — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Azerbaijan LLWDD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Lithuania DWWDW 3 wins · 2 draws

Head to head 1

0Azerbaijan 1Draw 0Lithuania
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

49 bookmakers counted
3.23 Average bookmaker line
3.00 — 3.40 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+