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Boldmere St. Michaels vs Bourne Town: match preview on 8 September 2026

FA Cup Boldmere Community Stadium Sutton Coldfield Miss Match page
Boldmere St. Michaels Bourne Town

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

43% 1
26% X
31% 2

Average bookmaker line (37)

2.12 1
3.59 X
2.98 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 20:02

Boldmere St. Michaels and Bourne Town are set for another tight encounter. The market has moved that way, and both sides have shown similar patterns in their recent matches.

The previous meeting on 05.09.2026 ended 1:1 at Bourne's ground. Three days later the sides meet again, and the odds reflect that expectation. The draw price has dropped from 3.65 to 3.59, a small but clear signal that bookmakers see another stalemate coming.

Boldmere have collected just 2 points from their last 5 games, with 2 draws and 3 losses. They failed to score in two of those matches and conceded in all five. Bourne are marginally better off, with 5 points from 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Both sides have kept 2 draws in their recent runs, which is the common thread.

The market is signalling a draw. Bourne's away price fell from 3.02 to 2.98, while Boldmere's home odds drifted slightly from 2.11 to 2.12. The draw shortened more sharply than either result, suggesting the market expects a cagey affair rather than a decisive result.

An early goal or injury shifts the balance. The current data points to another tight contest.

Boldmere average 2 shots per game, Bourne 1. Neither club has team news available.

Both teams have shown they can be hard to break down. Boldmere drew 0:0 at home against St Ives Town and lost narrowly in other fixtures. Bourne kept a clean sheet against Newcastle Town before their recent draw. Neither side has been prolific in attack, which supports the view of a low-scoring result.

The replay context matters. When teams meet again after a draw, the tactical approach often changes. The side that was more defensive in the first match may have to open up.

The odds suggest a draw is the most probable outcome, but football is unpredictable. A goal in the first 20 minutes, a red card, or a change in personnel could all alter the picture. A draw is the most likely result.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Boldmere St. Michaels LLDDW 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Bourne Town LLWDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 1

0Boldmere St. Michaels 1Draw 0Bourne Town
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

37 bookmakers counted

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+