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CSKA Sofia II vs Spartak Pleven: match prediction on 3 September 2026

Second League Stadium Dragalevtsi Sofia Hit Match page
CSKA Sofia II Spartak Pleven

Prediction for

Win: CSKA Sofia II

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62% 1
23% X
15% 2

Average bookmaker line (32)

1.45 1
3.99 X
5.82 2

Odds range

1.41 — 1.50

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 15:00

CSKA Sofia sit fifth with 11 points from six matches, while Spartak Pleven languish fourteenth on seven, a gap in quality that makes the hosts strong favourites at 1.45.

CSKA Sofia have taken 10 points from their last five outings, winning three, drawing once and losing once. Their most recent defeat came away at Fratria 0:1 on 29 August, but before that they beat Pirin Blagoevgrad 3:0 away and Hebar 1918 4:3 at home. Spartak Pleven have managed only four points from five games, winning once against Marek 2:1 at home but losing their other four matches, including heavy defeats 0:3 away to Beroe and 0:2 at home to Vihren.

The visitors have conceded 20 goals in total this season, with 30 per cent arriving between the 16th and 30th minute. They have scored 19 goals themselves, with 42 per cent coming in the 61st to 75th minute. Their away record has been particularly poor, and they arrive here having lost three of their last five league games. CSKA Sofia have conceded 17 goals, with no goals lost between the 61st and 75th minute.

The four meetings between these sides have produced one win each and two draws. CSKA Sofia won 4:0 at home in November 2025, while Spartak Pleven claimed a 2:1 victory in July 2025. The other two encounters ended level at 0:0. The line opened with CSKA Sofia at 1.44 and has drifted marginally to 1.45, while Spartak Pleven's odds have moved from 5.84 down to 5.83. The market removes a margin to show 62 per cent for the hosts, 23 per cent for a draw and 15 per cent for the visitors.

The model expects CSKA Sofia to score 1.6 goals and Spartak Pleven 0.9. A 1:0 result carries 13 per cent probability, 1:1 is 12 per cent and 2:0 is 10 per cent. The draw probability stands at 25 per cent and both teams to score at 48 per cent.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 15:00
  • ЦСКА София II — 4. place, 11 points after 6 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
  • Спартак Плевен — 13. place, 7 points after 6 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
  • ЦСКА София II, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Спартак Плевен, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, ЦСКА София II — 1, 2 draws, Спартак Плевен — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

CSKA Sofia II WDLWL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Spartak Pleven LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 4

1CSKA Sofia II 2Draw 1Spartak Pleven
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

32 bookmakers counted
1.45 Average bookmaker line
1.41 — 1.50 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+