Deportivo Cali vs Rionegro Aguilas: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Deportivo Cali recorded four wins and one draw over five matches to accumulate 13 points, whereas Rionegro Aguilas failed to win in the same period, drawing three and losing two for just 3 points. The table position of Deportivo Cali also appeared in a separate ten-match dataset showing sixth place on 18 points, while Rionegro Aguilas sat in 13th place on 11 points in that same window.

Statistical comparisons from the last 10 matches showed Rionegro Aguilas holding 56 per cent possession against Deportivo Cali’s 50 per cent, yet both sides averaged an expected goals value of 1.1. Deportivo Cali generated 4.8 shots on target per game compared to 4.5 for their opponents, while Rionegro Aguilas claimed 5.2 corners against 3.1 for the hosts. The odds remained unchanged from opening to closing, keeping the home win at 1.73, the draw at 3.37, and the away win at 4.73.

Head-to-head history over the last six meetings showed Rionegro Aguilas winning four times, with two draws and no victories for Deportivo Cali, including recent results of 2-1 and 3-1 at the visitors’ ground. The model for this fixture predicted a 29 per cent probability of a draw and 45 per cent that both teams would score, with probable scores of 1-1 and 1-0. Deportivo Cali’s Andrés Steven Rodríguez Ossa and Rionegro Aguilas’s H. Mena were both one booking away from a suspension based on their yellow card records over the last six months.