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Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua: match prediction on 25 September 2026

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Cibao FC Santiago de los Caballeros Hit Match page
Dominican Republic Nicaragua

Prediction for

Win: Dominican Republic

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

59% 1
24% X
17% 2

Average bookmaker line (43)

1.55 1
3.76 X
5.47 2

Odds range

1.50 — 1.61

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 01:08

CONCACAF Nations League Preview

The home side enters the contest as the favourite, with bookmakers pricing a Dominican Republic victory at 1.55, a rise of 3.9 per cent from their opening odds of 1.49. The odds for a Nicaraguan win have shortened to 5.46, down from 5.9, while a draw is priced at 3.75.

The teams arrive with contrasting recent records. The Dominican Republic have secured 6 points from their last five matches, recording one win and three draws, scoring 7 goals and conceding 7. Their most recent outing was a 2-4 defeat away to Panama in June 2026. Nicaragua, by contrast, have gathered 4 points from five games, winning once and drawing once, while losing three times. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 9 in that period, including a heavy 4-0 away loss to Paraguay on 5 June.

The head-to-head record is evenly matched. The sides have met twice in the CONCACAF Nations League in 2023. Statistical models predict the Dominican Republic will score 2 goals and Nicaragua 0.8, suggesting a likely 2-0 result, which carries a 12 per cent probability. The model estimates a 23 per cent chance of a draw.

There are no reports of injuries or suspensions affecting either squad. The Dominican Republic average 50 per cent possession and 5.5 corners per match in their last two games, while Nicaragua average 33 per cent possession and 3 corners per match in their last game.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 01:08
  • Доминиканская Республика, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Никарагуа, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Доминиканская Республика — 0, 1 draws, Никарагуа — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Dominican Republic DDDLW 1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss
Nicaragua LLDLL 1 draw · 4 losses

Head to head 2

0Dominican Republic 1Draw 1Nicaragua
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

43 bookmakers counted
1.55 Average bookmaker line
1.50 — 1.61 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+