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FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: match prediction on 19 October 2026

Major League Soccer TQL Stadium Cincinnati Pending Match page
FC Cincinnati Columbus Crew

Prediction for

Slight edge: FC Cincinnati

39%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

39% 1
27% X
34% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 18 Oct, 00:05

The text follows a database card structure: result → standings → statistics → vulnerabilities → form → head-to-head. A human would open with what matters most about this specific match.

FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew played out a draw, with the visitors securing a point that halts their slide while keeping the hosts in mid-table limbo. The result leaves FC Cincinnati tenth on 33 points from 26 matches and Columbus twelfth on 29 points from 27 matches. The visitors had not won here in seven years and now avoided defeat.

The hosts scored 15 per cent of their goals in the opening 15 minutes, while the visitors conceded 10 per cent in the same period. The match statistics show both sides averaged 54 per cent possession in their last 10 matches, yet the visitors recorded fewer shots on target (4.2 compared to the hosts’ 1.64 expected goals).

Both sides showed vulnerabilities in the final third. The visitors conceded 25 per cent of their goals in the last 15 minutes of matches, while the hosts conceded 23 per cent in the same window. The hosts’ last five matches saw them score six goals and concede 17, whereas the visitors scored seven and conceded five in their recent run. The disciplinary record showed FC Cincinnati players accumulated more red cards in the last six months (three players each with one red card) compared to Columbus Crew’s Rudy Camacho who had five yellow cards.

The visitors’ three wins in their last five matches contrasted sharply with the hosts’ winless streak of five games. The visitors’ recent victories over Inter Miami and Montréal Impact showed attacking improvement, while the hosts’ heavy defeats to Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC highlighted defensive issues. The head-to-head record showed Columbus Crew won five of the last 11 meetings against FC Cincinnati’s four victories.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 18 Oct, 00:05
  • Цинциннати — 10. place, 33 points after 26 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses)
  • Коламбус Крю — 12. place, 29 points after 27 games (8 wins, 5 draws, 14 losses)
  • Цинциннати, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
  • Коламбус Крю, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 11 games, Цинциннати — 4, 2 draws, Коламбус Крю — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

FC Cincinnati LLDDL 2 draws · 3 losses
Columbus Crew LLWWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 18

5FC Cincinnati 5Draw 8Columbus Crew
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+