Firpo vs Inter: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Firpo moved up to fifth place on 11 points from six matches, while Inter remained on 15 points after seven outings. The result overturned a prediction that a draw was the most likely outcome, with the model placing a 1–1 stalemate at 13 per cent.

Firpo took the lead in the 76th to 90-minute block, a period in which they score 30 per cent of their goals compared with Inter’s 29 per cent. Inter had dominated possession in recent fixtures—averaging 56 per cent versus Firpo’s 49 per cent—but failed to convert that control into a shot on target. Firpo averaged 6.4 shots on target per game, while Inter managed just 4.25.

Inter’s defensive record had been strong, conceding only three goals in their last five matches, while Firpo had kept clean sheets in two of those same games. The half-time score reflected the imbalance: Firpo rarely threaten before the break, scoring just 9 per cent of their tally between 31 and 45 minutes, while Inter’s first-half output is similarly muted. The match ended with Firpo having recorded fewer corners—5.8 per game average—than Inter’s 6.1.

The decisive moment came after Inter had failed to capitalise on early pressure. Firpo’s goal distribution showed a sharp rise from 76 minutes onward, while Inter’s own late-game scoring rose to 29 per cent but produced no equaliser. Firpo’s striker Cristian David Gil Hurtado, the club’s leading scorer with six goals in six months, was involved in the breakthrough.

Firpo’s victory moved them into fifth place, narrowing the gap to Inter’s second-place position to four points. Firpo’s record against Inter remained positive: two wins, two draws, and no losses in four meetings since August 2025, including a 3–0 win at Inter in March 2026. The result means Firpo have now won three of their six league matches, while Inter have taken 15 points from seven games.