Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Japan Women vs Chinese Taipei Women: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Japan Women
Chinese Taipei Women
Prediction for
Win: Japan Women
96%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
94%
1
5%
X
1%
2
Average bookmaker line (8)
1.02
1
19.00
X
86.00
2
Odds range
1.01 — 1.02
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 11:32- Женская сборная Японии — 1. place, 6 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Китайский Тайбэй (жен.) — 2. place, 6 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Женская сборная Японии, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Китайский Тайбэй (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Женская сборная Японии — 2, Китайский Тайбэй (жен.) — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Japan Women
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Chinese Taipei Women
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 2
2Japan Women
0Draw
0Chinese Taipei Women
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
8
bookmakers counted
1.02
Average bookmaker line
1.01 — 1.02
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 11:32Japan win at 1.02
The model sees no scenario where Chinese Taipei holds Japan to a result worth betting on. Odds of 1.02 reflect the gap between a side that has scored 16 goals in two Asian Games matches and one that has managed just three across five.
Japan's attack has been ruthless. Eight goals against Vietnam, eight against Thailand — the same pattern repeated across two consecutive matches. Their expected goals of 4.5 for this fixture are not an abstract figure; they are built on a side that averages 8.5 shots on target per game and dominates possession at 62%. Chinese Taipei, by contrast, average 1.8 shots on target and 33% possession. The numbers are not close.
The head-to-head record reinforces this. Japan have won both meetings in the past year — 4-0 in July 2025 and 2-0 in March 2026. Both matches ended with clean sheets and multiple goals. Chinese Taipei have not scored against Japan in those encounters. Their recent form includes wins over Thailand and Vietnam, but those were 1-0 and 2-1 — matches decided by narrow margins, not the kind of performance that suggests they can compete with Japan's attacking output.
This prediction stops holding if the match ends level. A draw would require Japanese goals to dry up after the opening exchanges and Chinese Taipei to maintain their defensive shape for 90 minutes. Given Japan's tendency to score heavily in the 61-75 minute period (24% of their goals) and Chinese Taipei's vulnerability across all periods after the break, the most likely path to a different result is through a late collapse rather than an early shift. But the data does not support that happening.