Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs ES Tunis: match prediction on 30 August 2026

ES Tunis win. Étoile du Sahel are five wins from five, while Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have managed just two points from their last five outings. The visitors have won four of the last five meetings, and the model expects 1.6 goals for the visitors and 0.6 for the hosts.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's current league position says it all. They sit 16th after one match, with zero points and a single defeat. Their last five games produced 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses — that's 2 points and a goal difference of 4:8. Before that came a 0:2 away defeat to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer on 22.08.2026. They have not won any of their last five matches.

Five wins from five matches, 15 points, and a goal difference of 11:3. Their last game was a 3:2 home victory on 23.08.2026. Before that came four consecutive away wins — 1:0 against ES Zarzis, 1:0 against Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, 3:0 against BS Bouhajla, and 3:1 against ES Metlaoui. That's a clean sweep of victories without a single draw or defeat.

In five recent encounters Étoile du Sahel have won four, with one draw. The last two meetings both ended 0:1 in favour of the visitors — once in the Cup on 24.05.2026, once in Ligue 1 on 04.05.2026. Going back further, ES Tunis won 4:0 at home on 06.11.2025 and 2:0 on 01.12.2024. The only exception was a 2:2 draw at Jeunesse Sportive Omrane on 12.03.2025.

League standings place Étoile du Sahel 4th after one match with 3 points from 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane are 16th with 0 points from 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss. The model expects goals at 0.6 for the hosts and 1.6 for the visitors. Probability of a draw is 25%, both teams scoring at 38%, and three or more goals at 38%. The most likely scorelines are 0:1 (17%), 0:2 (14%), and 1:1 (11%).

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane concede heavily in the middle period — 44% of their goals against come between 46 and 60 minutes. Étoile du Sahel are dangerous later on, with 24% of their goals arriving between 61 and 75 minutes. The hosts score a quarter of their goals in each of the final three segments, but their early vulnerability (33% of goals conceded in the first 15 minutes) could be exploited.

A 0:0 or 1:1 result would require the visitors to be unusually wasteful, which goes against their recent pattern of winning every game. If the hosts score first and defend effectively, the model's 0.6 expected goals for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane becomes relevant — but only if they can keep Étoile du Sahel below their 1.6 average.