Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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LD Alajuelense vs CD Marathon: match prediction on 18 September 2026
LD Alajuelense
CD Marathon
Prediction for
Win: LD Alajuelense
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
45%
1
30%
X
25%
2
Average bookmaker line (40)
2.03
1
3.07
X
3.60
2
Odds range
1.68 — 2.15
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 19:45- Средняя линия 40 букмекеров: победа Алахуэленсе 1.94, ничья 3.08, победа Маратон 3.87
- Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.68 до 2.08 (24%)
- Алахуэленсе, last 5 games: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
- Маратон, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Алахуэленсе — 1, 1 draws, Маратон — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
LD Alajuelense
DLDLW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
CD Marathon
WWDWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 2
1LD Alajuelense
1Draw
0CD Marathon
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
40
bookmakers counted
2.03
Average bookmaker line
1.68 — 2.15
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 19:45A draw is the likely outcome. The first leg ended 2:2 in Tegucigalpa, and the visitors have built a cushion. Marathon travel with momentum; Alajuelense carry uncertainty. The prediction hinges on Alajuelense scoring early.
Alajuelense have won just once in five, their leaky defence (nine conceded) will test a Marathon attack that has found the net in every outing.
Marathon sit at the other end of the spectrum. Marathon have won four and drawn one in five, conceding just three goals while scoring in every match.
Before that, in August 2024, Alajuelense won 3:1 at home. This time the visitors start with a point. A draw sends Marathon through. An Alajuelense win keeps them in the tie. The odds reflect this balance, with the market pricing a draw at 3.08.
The draw probability sits at 32%. The pick shifts if Alajuelense score early. They need to attack from the start, not sit back. If Marathon control the midfield, the scoreline stays level.