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Liechtenstein vs Lithuania: match prediction on 24 September 2026

UEFA Nations League Rheinpark Stadion Vaduz Hit Match page
Liechtenstein Lithuania

Prediction for

Win: Lithuania

40%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

6% 1
18% X
76% 2

Average bookmaker line (50)

16.36 1
5.10 X
1.24 2

Odds range

1.20 — 1.38

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 22 Sep, 19:51

Match result not available in data

The match between Liechtenstein and Lithuania took place on 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC in the UEFA Nations League. Fixture scheduled for 24 September 2026; results pending. The standings section indicates both teams had played zero matches and held zero points prior to this fixture, suggesting this was an opening-round encounter.

Form figures show Liechtenstein had won one of their last five matches, losing four and conceding fifteen goals while scoring just two. Lithuania's recent record was stronger, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats across five matches, during which they scored four goals and conceded seven.

Teams' statistics over their last three matches reveal Lithuania averaged 52 per cent possession and five shots on target per game, compared to Liechtenstein's 41 per cent possession and 1.67 shots on target. The betting market moved toward the visitors, with the away win price dropping from 1.30 to 1.24, while the home win drifted from 11.08 to 16.27.

A statistical model predicted Lithuania would score an average of 1.2 goals and Liechtenstein 0.9. It estimated a 33 per cent probability of a draw and 43 per cent that both teams would score, with the most likely scoreline identified as 1-1 at 15 per cent.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 22 Sep, 19:51
  • Лихтенштейн, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Литва, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Liechtenstein LLLLL 5 losses
Lithuania LDWWD 2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

Bookmaker market

50 bookmakers counted
1.24 Average bookmaker line
1.20 — 1.38 Odds range

More predictions

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+