MPBL
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Luunja
Prediction for
Win: Luunja
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 17:06They have won every game in their last five, while Luunja have collected just five points from the same run. The three-point gap at the top of the table widens if the visitors hold their nerve.
Five wins in five matches, twelve goals scored and only three let in. The run started on 3 August with a 3:2 victory away at Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and has not stopped since. Their most recent outing ended 1:0 at home against Legion on 24 August. They have won one, drawn two and lost two in their last five, scoring ten and conceding eleven. Their form has stalled after a high-scoring 5:4 win at home against Tallinna Kalev II on 20 July.
Two matches have been played this season, one win for each side. The visitors are the side that came out on top most recently, and they scored more goals than Luunja.
The table puts Levadia U19 in second place with 47 points from 25 matches, while Luunja sit fourth on 44 points. Both sides have played the same number of games. The gap is three points and it matters. Levadia U19 have 15 wins compared to Luunja's 13.
The model expects Luunja to score 2.3 goals and Levadia U19 to find 1.9. The draw is priced at 20%, both teams to score at 77%, and three or more goals at 79%. The most likely scoreline is 2:1 to Luunja at 8%, followed by 2:2 at 7% and 1:1 at 6%.