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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Ra'anana: match prediction on 28 September 2026

Liga Leumit Green Stadium Nof HaGalil Miss Match page
Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Ra'anana

Prediction for

Win: Maccabi Bnei Raina

80%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46% 1
26% X
27% 2

Average bookmaker line (41)

1.96 1
3.43 X
3.30 2

Odds range

1.84 — 2.15

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:55

Home side capitalises on market shift

Maccabi Bnei Raina defeated Hapoel Ra'anana in the Liga Leumit. The result followed a clear movement in the betting market, where the price for a home win dropped from 2.26 to 1.96, while the likelihood of an away victory rose from 2.78 to 3.29. This shift in odds preceded the match outcome, reflecting market movement rather than consensus.

Attacking efficiency decides the contest

The encounter highlighted a stark contrast in finishing quality. Maccabi Bnei Raina averaged 4.4 shots on target per game over their last ten matches, while Hapoel Ra'anana managed 6.33. Despite the visitors' higher volume of attempts, the home side secured the victory. The statistical model for this fixture had estimated a probability of 80% for three or more goals, a scenario that materialised.

Timing of goals defines the flow

Maccabi Bnei Raina demonstrated a specific pattern in their goal-scoring timeline. Over their previous five games, 33% of their goals arrived in the final 15 minutes of play. This late surge contrasts with Hapoel Ra'anana's distribution, where 23% of their goals were scored in the same period. The home side's ability to maintain pressure in the closing stages proved decisive against the fifth-placed visitors.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:55
  • Маккаби Бней Райна — 7. place, 12 points after 6 games (4 wins, 2 losses)
  • Хапоэль Раанана — 5. place, 12 points after 6 games (4 wins, 2 losses)
  • Маккаби Бней Райна, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Хапоэль Раанана, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Maccabi Bnei Raina LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Hapoel Ra'anana LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 2

2Maccabi Bnei Raina 0Draw 0Hapoel Ra'anana
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

41 bookmakers counted
1.96 Average bookmaker line
1.84 — 2.15 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+