Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Tira: match prediction on 30 September 2026

Tira win (47%)

I back Tira to take all three points at Maccabi Neve Sha'anan's ground. The visitors have gone five matches without a loss — two wins and three draws — while the hosts have managed just one victory in that span and lost their last outing 0:3 away to Beitar Nahariya. Tira's defensive record speaks for itself: they have conceded only two goals across those five games.

Recent form

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have ground out results rather than won them. Three draws in their last five matches — against Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, and again against Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on 27 February — show a side that can keep things tight but struggles to finish games off. Their only win came away to Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2:1, and since then they have dropped points or suffered defeats in every outing.

Tira have been harder to beat. They drew 1:1 at home to Hapoel Bnei Musmus and away to Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt, but backed those up with a 4:0 win over Hapoel Ironi Arraba and a 1:0 victory away at Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. They have scored seven goals and let in only two, and their clean sheet record suggests they are not a side that breaks easily.

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting ended 0:3 in Tira's favour on 16 January 2026. Before that, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan won 2:1 at home on 7 September 2025. Across those two matches each side has claimed one victory, but the heavier defeat at Maccabi Neve Sha'anan's own ground is the one that matters most when visitors come calling.

Model and scorelines

The model expects Maccabi Neve Sha'anan to score 1.1 goals and Tira 1.5. The most likely outcome is 1:1 at 14%, followed by 0:1 at 10% and 1:2 at 9%. Both teams to score sits at 53%, the draw probability at 29%, and three or more goals at 48%. These figures lean toward a narrow away result rather than a cagey stalemate.

When the conclusion breaks

A draw suits Tira's approach — they are comfortable seeing the game out and have drawn three of five. If they sit deep and run the clock down, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan's tendency to score late could work against them. The hosts put 38% of their goals in the 61–75 minute window and 25% in the final 15, while Tira have conceded 75% of their goals in the 61–75 period. That overlap matters if Tira protect a lead rather than extend it.

A red card for either side changes the shape of the match entirely. Tira's K. Baloum carries one red card in the last six months, and while he is not suspended for this fixture, a sending-off would alter the balance. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have no disciplinary flags to report.

The model's figures are computed from goals scored and conceded. They do not account for injuries or fixture congestion. If Tira's attack is missing a key player, or if Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have something to prove after their heavy away defeat, the estimate shifts. I am not inventing scenarios — I am naming the ones that would overturn the conclusion.

Tira have been the stronger side in recent meetings and have not lost in five matches. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have won once and lost their last outing. The visitors should have too much for them, provided they do not sit back and let the hosts score late. That is the risk. A draw is the threat. Everything else points to Tira.