Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Mladost Ždralovi
Sesvete
Prediction for
Win: Mladost Ždralovi
87%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
87%
1
10%
X
3%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 16:07- Младость Ждралови — 6. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Сесвете — 8. place, 3 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Младость Ждралови, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
- Сесвете, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Младость Ждралови — 0, 1 draws, Сесвете — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mladost Ždralovi
DWWDD
2 wins · 3 draws
Sesvete
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 2
0Mladost Ždralovi
1Draw
1Sesvete
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 16:07Mladost Ždralovi to win. Confidence 65%.
The model expects Mladost Ždralovi to score 2.8 goals and Sesvete 0.4. That gap opens the door for a comfortable home victory, and the most likely scoreline sits at 2:0 with a 16% probability. Sesvete's defensive record does not suggest they will keep a clean sheet against a side that has kept three clean sheets in five matches.
Mladost Ždralovi have taken 11 points from their last five games: three wins and two draws. They beat Kustosija 2:1 away on 30 August and drew 1:1 with Vukovar at home on 21 August. Their goal timing shows a concentration in the opening half — 38% of their goals arrive between the 16th and 30th minute — and they have not conceded a single goal between the 61st and 75th minute.
Sesvete sit on three points from two league matches, one win and one loss. Their last five games produced two victories, one draw and two defeats, with five goals scored and six conceded. They lost 1:2 to Dugopolje at home on 28 August and won 3:0 against Karlovac 1919 on 21 August. They have conceded 31% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minute, a period where Mladost Ždralovi have not let in any.
The two sides have met twice in recent years. Sesvete won 1:0 at home on 4 October 2022 and the return ended 0:0 at Mladost Ždralovi on 8 April 2023. That head-to-head record — one win each, one draw — suggests a tight contest, but the current form and the model's expectations point elsewhere.
Mladost Ždralovi occupy sixth place with four points, Sesvete eighth with three. The draw probability sits at just 10%, while the chance of three or more goals in the match reaches 63%. Neither team has a player on the verge of suspension, and no red cards have been issued in the last three weeks, so the match should proceed without disciplinary interruptions.
A draw suits Sesvete's approach — they tend to sit deep and look for transitions — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Sesvete manage to hold the result until the 61st minute, when they have conceded a third of their goals, the model's projection weakens considerably.
Outcome: Mladost Ždralovi win. Confidence: 65%.