Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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MOIK
Prediction for
Win: MOIK
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 09:13Home side favoured
MOIK win, 62%. The model projects 1.9 goals for the hosts and 0.9 for Şimal. The model points to one or two home goals. MOIK have won two of the last four meetings, including a 2:0 victory in December 2025.
Both sides sit in the bottom half after one match. MOIK are ninth with zero points following a loss, while Şimal occupy eighth place, also without a win. Şimal hold a better recent record over five games, taking seven points from ten, compared to MOIK's four points.
Şimal have failed to win any of the last four meetings, drawing twice and losing twice. They took a point in May 2026 at home but lost 2:0 in December 2025 away. The visitors scored 7 goals in their last five matches but also conceded 7, showing a leaky defence.
MOIK score 36% of their 11 goals in the final 15 minutes, while Şimal account for 20% of their 10 goals in the opening 15 minutes. This contrast suggests the hosts might control the second half while Şimal look to strike first.
The tip breaks if Şimal strike early or the match ends 1:1 (10%).