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Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Primera A Estadio Palogrande Manizales Hit Match page
Once Caldas Deportes Tolima

Prediction for

Win: Once Caldas

51%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

51% 1
28% X
22% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:13

The match data provides no information on the final score, scorers, or outcome of the fixture between Once Caldas and Deportes Tolima on 16 September 2026. There are no statistics, disciplinary records, or narrative accounts detailing how the game was played. Consequently, it is impossible to report on who won, lost, or drew the match.

Pre-Match Context

Before the kick-off, Once Caldas sat in fifth place with 33 points from 19 matches, while Deportes Tolima occupied sixth place with 31 points from the same number of games. Head-to-head history showed a clear imbalance, with Deportes Tolima winning seven of the last twelve encounters and Once Caldas securing only one victory in that span.

Statistical Projections

Pre-match models projected an average of 1.4 goals for Once Caldas and 0.8 for Deportes Tolima. The probability of a draw was calculated at 28 per cent, with the most likely individual scorelines being 1:0 and 1:1, each assigned a 16 and 12 per cent chance respectively. These figures remain unverified as no match result is available to confirm or refute the predictions.

Form and Standings

Going into the fixture, Once Caldas had earned eight points from their previous five matches, scoring five goals and conceding five. Deportes Tolima followed with seven points from five games, netting five goals and allowing six. The league table entries provided show conflicting positions, with Deportes Tolima listed as second in one dataset and sixth in another, preventing a definitive statement on their relative standing prior to the match.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 16 Sep, 01:13
  • Онсе Кальдас — 5. place, 33 points after 19 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 2 losses)
  • Депортес Толима — 6. place, 31 points after 19 games (8 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses)
  • Онсе Кальдас, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
  • Депортес Толима, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, Онсе Кальдас — 1, 4 draws, Депортес Толима — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Once Caldas LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Deportes Tolima WWLLD 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 16

2Once Caldas 6Draw 8Deportes Tolima
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+