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RK Vardar 1961 vs Wisła Płock: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Champions League Jane Sandanski Arena Skopje Pending Match page
RK Vardar 1961 Wisła Płock

Prediction for

Win: RK Vardar 1961

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

52% 1
48% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03

Vardar win at home against struggling Wisła Płock

RK Vardar 1961 will beat Wisła Płock in the Champions League opener because the hosts are riding a perfect run of five victories while the visitors have lost three of their last five matches.

Vardar's recent record is unblemished. They won all five of their last games, scoring 168 goals and conceding 123 across that span. Their last outing was a 31:19 Superleague victory over Eurofarm Pelister 2 on 4 September. Before that came a 33:27 friendly win against Nexe on 20 August, followed by a 39:27 friendly triumph over Olympiacos SFP on 18 August. They are leaking 31 a game.

Wisła Płock's form tells a different story entirely. They managed just one win, one draw and three losses in their last five outings, netting 127 goals while letting in 156. Their most recent match was a 19:46 Superliga defeat at home to MMTS Kwidzyn on 4 September. Prior to that they drew 24:24 away at Gummersbach on 23 August and lost 23:24 away at Nantes on 22 August. They had beaten Holstebro TTH 34:26 at home on 8 August and lost 27:36 away at Kielce on 31 May.

Vardar are expected to score 28.2 goals and Wisła Płock 27.6 in this fixture.

A draw would suit Wisła Płock and that is the main threat to the prediction. If the visitors can absorb pressure and keep the score level through defensive organisation, the home advantage becomes less decisive.

Outcome: RK Vardar 1961 win Confidence: 52%

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03
  • Вардар, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Висла Плоцк, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

RK Vardar 1961 WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Wisła Płock WLDLL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+