Cup
Spišská Nová Ves
Podbrezová
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Peerless vs Mohammedan SC: match prediction on 4 September 2026
Peerless
Mohammedan SC
Prediction for
Win: Mohammedan SC
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
23%
1
28%
X
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 10:43- Пирлесс — 12. place, 14 points after 9 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Мохаммедан — 3. place, 21 points after 10 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses)
- Пирлесс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Мохаммедан, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Пирлесс — 1, Мохаммедан — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Peerless
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Mohammedan SC
DWLWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Peerless
0Draw
1Mohammedan SC
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 10:43Mohammedan SC to win (65%)
The model places the visitors ahead with an expected 1.3 goals against Peerless 0.8, a margin consistent with their higher league position despite their recent inconsistency.
Peerless have found their scoring touch, netting 13 times in their last five matches while conceding just four. That run includes three consecutive victories before a 1-0 defeat at Calcutta Police. Mohammedan, by contrast, have drawn two and lost one of their last five, including a heavy 2-0 away defeat to Coal India. Peerless score heavily in the final 15 minutes (29%) but also leak 50% of goals in the opening 15. Mohammedan concede most in the 46-60 minute block (24%).
League position tells a starker story. Mohammedan sit fifth with 21 points from ten games, having lost only once.
The statistical model points to a narrow result, with the most probable scoreline being 0-1, carrying a 15% probability, followed by a 1-1 draw at 13%. The likelihood of both teams scoring sits at 42%, but the model expects Mohammedan to edge the encounter.
The prediction holds only if Mohammedan avoid an early collapse. If the hosts strike before the visitors settle, the away win prediction ceases to hold.