Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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ZOB Ahan
Prediction for
Win: Persepolis
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (35)
Odds range
1.21 — 1.32
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Sep, 16:42Persepolis win at 1.28 is the model's outcome, backed by a 71% market probability and a head-to-head record that leaves ZOB Ahan without a victory in six meetings. The line has tightened around the hosts since opening at 1.35, while the away price drifted to 10.91, and the data does not contradict that shift.
Form on the pitch
Their attack has been productive — 10 goals in five games — but they are not consistent across the full 90 minutes. They score a third of their goals in the opening 15 minutes and another third in the final 15 minutes of the first half, while the 16-30 and 61-75 windows produce nothing. ZOB Ahan have managed just six points from the same number of fixtures, with three draws and one win. Their recent results show a side that rarely loses but rarely wins either, and they have scored only three goals in five matches.
Head-to-head pattern
The last six meetings produced three Persepolis victories and three draws. ZOB Ahan have not won in this fixture since before the data extends. The most recent encounter ended 2:0 at home for Persepolis, and before that a goalless draw at ZOB Ahan's ground. This is not a rivalry that produces surprises.
What the model sees
The simulation expects Persepolis to score 1.3 goals and ZOB Ahan 0.6. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 19%, followed by 0:0 at 15% and 2:0 at 12%. A draw carries a 29% probability, and both teams scoring sits at 34%. The model does not account for injuries or suspensions — it runs on past goals and past results. If ZOB Ahan are missing A. Ghaderi after his red card on 24 August, that absence is not reflected in the figures.
When the conclusion breaks
A draw suits ZOB Ahan's approach. They have drawn three of five matches this season and know how to run the clock down. If they absorb pressure and take the game to penalties or extra time, the home side's advantage evaporates. The model's 29% draw probability is not negligible, and a goalless result is the second most likely outcome. Persepolis would need to score early to avoid that scenario, but their scoring pattern shows vulnerability in the middle periods of each half.