Progreso vs Club Nacional: match prediction on 16 September 2026

Copa Uruguay 16 Sep, 19:00 Parque Abraham Paladino Montevideo Pending Match page

Progreso

Club Nacional

Prediction for

Win: Club Nacional

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

27% 1

27% X

47% 2

Prediction fixed 14 Sep, 19:13 and will not change after kick-off

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 19:13

Прогресо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Насьональ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
Head-to-head: 9 games, Прогресо — 0, 2 draws, Насьональ — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Progreso LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Club Nacional WDWWD 3 wins · 2 draws

Head to head 13

1Progreso 2Draw 10Club Nacional

All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

How forecasts are made

We analyse team form, match statistics, head-to-head record and line-ups.
The model estimates the probability of each outcome (1X2).
A forecast is fixed before kick-off and is never changed afterwards.
Accuracy counts only finished events.

About the method

Model statistics

4894 checked predictions

2207 successful

2687 unsuccessful

More about accuracy

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