Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Sportist Svoge vs Vihren: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Sportist Svoge
Vihren
Prediction for
Win: Vihren
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
14%
1
24%
X
61%
2
Average bookmaker line (25)
6.24
1
3.68
X
1.47
2
Odds range
1.41 — 1.53
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 15:12- Спортлист Свиге — 16. place, 7 points after 9 games (1 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses)
- Вихрен — 1. place, 21 points after 9 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
- Спортлист Свиге, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Вихрен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Спортлист Свиге — 1, Вихрен — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sportist Svoge
DLDLW
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Vihren
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 4
1Sportist Svoge
0Draw
3Vihren
- 11 JulSportist Svoge — Vihren0:2
- 16 AprVihren — Sportist Svoge4:1
- 7 FebVihren — Sportist Svoge3:1
- 18 Oct 2025Sportist Svoge — Vihren2:1
Bookmaker market
25
bookmakers counted
1.47
Average bookmaker line
1.41 — 1.53
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 15:12Vihren are the clear favourites at 1.47. The pick stands unless Vihren miss early chances. The line has moved 8% in their favour over the last twelve hours, and the form gap between first and sixteenth place tells the same story. A draw suits the visitors, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.
Sportist Svoge have not won in five matches, picking up just two points from a 1:4 goal record. Sportist have drawn twice and lost three away. They score 29 per cent of their goals in the opening fifteen minutes and another 29 per cent after the break, yet they concede 33 per cent of their goals in the final quarter of an hour. This is a side that struggles to see games out.
Vihren are unbeaten in nine league matches and have won four of their last five, scoring fourteen goals while conceding only four. Vihren have won four straight, conceding just once. The only blemish was a 2:2 draw at home against Fratria.
The table makes the hierarchy plain: Vihren sit on 21 points from six wins and three draws, Sportist Svoge on 7 points from one victory and four draws. In the last four meetings Vihren have won three, including a 4:1 victory in the league in April and a 2:0 win in a friendly in July. The only time Sportist Svoge came out on top was a 2:1 home win in October 2025. Vihren have won three of the last four meetings.
The model expects Sportist Svoge to score 0.8 goals and Vihren 1.5, with a 27 per cent chance of a draw and a 43 per cent chance both teams find the net. The three most likely scorelines are 0:1 at 15 per cent, 1:1 at 12 per cent and 0:2 at 11 per cent. The model projects 1.5 xG for the visitors, pointing to a 1-0 or 2-0 win. The home win price has drifted from 4.97 to 6.24.
A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. The visitors concede heavily in the 46-60 minute window, and if Sportist Svoge find a goal there, the game opens up. The pick stands unless Vihren miss early chances.