Tekstilshchik vs Torpedo Moscow: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Torpedo Moscow double chance at 60% confidence, have won three of their last five, and the model puts their expected goals at 1.3 against Tekstilshchik's 0.6.

Tekstilshchik have taken four points from their last five matches — one win, one draw, three defeats. They beat KAMAZ 1:0 away on 19 August but have since lost at home to Veles 0:1 and to Ural 2:0 away. They have scored two goals and conceded six in that span. Torpedo Moscow have collected nine points from the same period, winning three and losing two. They beat SKA Khabarovsk 2:0 away, Spartak Kostroma 3:0 at home, and Chelyabinsk 4:0 away. They have scored ten goals and conceded three.

Torpedo Moscow occupy fourth place with 16 points from eight matches — five wins, one draw, two losses. Tekstilshchik sit 15th with 6 points from nine matches — one win, three draws, five losses. The visitors have played one fewer game but hold a ten-point advantage.

The model expects Tekstilshchik to score 0.6 goals and Torpedo Moscow 1.3. The draw probability stands at 29%, both teams to score at 34%, and three or more goals at 30%. The three most likely scorelines are 0:1 at 19%, 0:0 at 15%, and 0:2 at 12%. Torpedo Moscow's attack has been sharper — they average 5.2 shots on target per match compared to Tekstilshchik's 2.0. Tekstilshchik concede heavily in the 61st to 75th minute, with 50% of their goals against arriving in that window.

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Tekstilshchik keep the game tight and Torpedo Moscow fail to break through, the double chance still holds but the win disappears. Tekstilshchik have scored 33% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minute, so an early breakthrough could change the dynamic. Torpedo Moscow have conceded 30% of their goals in the first half.