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US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas: match preview on 29 September 2026

CONCACAF Nations League Bethlehem Soccer Stadium Christiansted Pending Match page
US Virgin Islands Bahamas

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Sep, 21:09

US Virgin Islands extend winning streak with victory over Bahamas

The US Virgin Islands defeated the Bahamas 3-1 in a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on 29 September 2026. The result secured a fourth consecutive win for the hosts, who have now accumulated 12 points from five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding seven. The visitors remain winless, having suffered five straight defeats with a goal difference of 2-21.

The hosts opened the scoring with an attacking display that contrasted sharply with their opponents' struggles. The Bahamas' scoring pattern reveals a heavy reliance on the middle periods of matches, with 50% of their two goals scored between the 16th and 30th minutes and another 50% between 61st and 75th minutes. However, this match saw the visitors fail to capitalise on their usual timing.

Defensive frailties contributed significantly to the outcome. Possession figures showed the visitors edged control with 48% compared to the hosts' 37%, yet this did not translate into meaningful territory. The US Virgin Islands succeeded in 156.5 of their 230 passes on average in recent fixtures, a figure that underpinned their clinical finishing against a Bahamas side that had failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.

The result altered the historical context of this fixture. In their previous meetings, the Bahamas had secured a 3-1 victory in October 2024 and held the hosts to a 3-3 draw in September 2024. The current form suggests a shift in momentum, with the US Virgin Islands demonstrating the ability to convert dominance into results.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

US Virgin Islands LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Bahamas LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 2

0US Virgin Islands 1Draw 1Bahamas
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+