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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
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Yantra 2019
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Prediction for
Win: Yantra 2019
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (36)
Odds range
1.07 — 1.25
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 17:09Yantra 2019 enter this fixture as clear favorites against a Pirin Blagoevgrad side in freefall.
Pirin Blagoevgrad have lost every single game this season — six defeats in six matches, zero points on the board. Yantra 2019 sit eight places above them in the table with 10 points from 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The gap between them is not just in the standings; it shows up in the scorelines. Pirin conceded 17 goals in their last 5 games while scoring just 2. Yantra kept 3 clean sheets in that same period.
Yantra 2019 have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches — 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. They beat Sportist Svoge 1:0 at home, won 1:0 away at Dobrudzha, and took a 3:2 victory over Montana in front of their own supporters. Their only defeat came 1:2 away at Etar Veliko Tarnovo. Pirin Blagoevgrad's run looks nothing like it. Five losses in a row, including a 0:7 thrashing away at Nesebar and a 0:3 home defeat to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. They have not won, drawn or even scored more than twice in any of their last six games.
The most recent encounter ended 2:2 at Pirin's ground in December 2025. Before that, a 1:1 draw at Yantra's stadium in July 2025. Pirin won 1:0 at home in May 2025 and 1:0 away in November 2024. The pattern does not suggest Yantra will struggle to take all three points today.
Statistical models point to a Yantra 2019 victory, driven by Pirin’s defensive fragility.
The statistical model expects Yantra 2019 to score 2 goals and Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7. The most likely scorelines are 2:0 at 13%, 1:0 at 13% and 2:1 at 9%. A draw carries only a 20% probability while both teams scoring sits at 44%. The model does not account for injuries or suspensions — it runs on goals scored and conceded. Pirin's defensive record of 17 goals conceded in 5 matches shifts the estimate firmly away from a tight contest.
A draw suits Pirin — they have nothing to lose and could sit deep, hoping to frustrate Yantra 2019 into a stalemate. If Pirin manage to avoid conceding early, they might survive until the final whistle. Pirin have conceded 29% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, which suggests they can still cause trouble late on. Yantra's attack has been strongest between the 46th and 60th minute, scoring 27% of their goals in that window. If the hosts fail to break through before half-time, the game could open up in a way that benefits Pirin.