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South Africa Australia 20/2 0 Nagaland Mizoram 0 417/9 Meghalaya Manipur 380 0 Assam Tripura 323/7 0 Puducherry Madhya Pradesh 177 51/3 Baroda Bihar 99/3 166 Matches →

Football predictions: upcoming matches

A suggested outcome with a probability and the reasoning behind it. The calculation rests on attacking and defensive strength adjusted for opponents, recent form, head-to-head history and, where available, the bookmakers' line. A forecast is an estimate, not a promise.

Analytical forecasts on sports events based on statistical models

Prediction accuracy

59%

9212 / 15559

9212hit
6347missed
1282Pending
15559checked predictions

Awaiting result

Second NL Pending
Hrvatski Dragovoljac Uskok Klis

Prediction for Hrvatski Dragovoljac — Uskok Klis

Slight edge: Uskok Klis

40%probability
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Ligi kuu Bara Pending
Mbeya City FC Kagera Sugar

Prediction for Mbeya City FC — Kagera Sugar

Win: Mbeya City FC

51%probability
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Persian Gulf Pro League Pending
Chadormalu SC Kheybar Khorramabad

Prediction for Chadormalu SC — Kheybar Khorramabad

Slight edge: Chadormalu SC

47%probability
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Liga Leumit Pending
Hapoel Acre Maccabi Bnei Raina

Prediction for Hapoel Acre — Maccabi Bnei Raina

Win: Maccabi Bnei Raina

72%probability
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Ligue A Pending
Royal Vision Kayanza United

Prediction for Royal Vision — Kayanza United

Win: Royal Vision

63%probability
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Vysshaya Liga Pending
Parvoz Khujand

Prediction for Parvoz — Khujand

Win: Khujand

52%probability
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Liga Alef Pending
FC Jerusalem Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Prediction for FC Jerusalem — Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Slight edge: FC Jerusalem

46%probability
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Premier League Pending
Eastern North District

Prediction for Eastern — North District

Slight edge: Eastern

42%probability
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Liga 1 Pending
Oguzsport FC Stăuceni

Prediction for Oguzsport — FC Stăuceni

Win: FC Stăuceni

53%probability
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Liga 1 Pending
FCM Ungheni Zimbru II

Prediction for FCM Ungheni — Zimbru II

Win: FCM Ungheni

69%probability
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Super League Pending
Zhejiang Professional SHANGHAI SIPG

Prediction for Zhejiang Professional — SHANGHAI SIPG

Win: Zhejiang Professional

51%probability
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Professional Development League Pending
Barnsley U21 Hull City U21

Prediction for Barnsley U21 — Hull City U21

Slight edge: Barnsley U21

47%probability
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Super League Pending
Qingdao Jonoon Beijing Guoan

Prediction for Qingdao Jonoon — Beijing Guoan

Win: Beijing Guoan

50%probability
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

How a forecast is made

First the attacking and defensive strength of each side is worked out from matches played, adjusted for the opposition faced: goals against a bottom club and against a leader are not worth the same. Expected goals follow from those figures, and the outcome probabilities from them.

What data goes in

Match results from the past two years, weighted so that a recent game counts for more than one from last season. League position, head-to-head history and, in football, the average bookmakers' line. Injuries and suspensions are gathered separately and appear in the write-up.

What the probability means

Sixty per cent means that, were the match played many times over, the outcome would come up in roughly six cases out of ten. In four it would not — and that is not an error in the calculation but the nature of an estimate.

Limits of a forecast

The calculation knows nothing that is not in the data: a coach dismissed on the eve, the weather, a side rested before a European tie. For clubs with two or three matches behind them there is not enough to go on at all, and no forecast is made.