National League
Miss
Eastleigh
Southend
Prediction for Eastleigh — Southend
52%probability
Read more
Football predictions: upcoming matches
A suggested outcome with a probability and the reasoning behind it. The calculation rests on attacking and defensive strength adjusted for opponents, recent form, head-to-head history and, where available, the bookmakers' line. A forecast is an estimate, not a promise.
Analytical forecasts on sports events based on statistical models
Prediction accuracy
59%
9222 / 15572
9222hit
6350missed
1326Pending
15572checked predictions
Checked forecasts
Eastleigh
Southend
UEFA Women's Champions League
Miss
Sporting CP Women
Brøndby
Prediction for Sporting CP Women — Brøndby
53%probability
Read more
National League
Hit
Tamworth
Sutton United
Prediction for Tamworth — Sutton United
46%probability
Read more
1. Liga Promotion
Miss
Kreuzlingen
Brühl
Prediction for Kreuzlingen — Brühl
54%probability
Read more
Premier League International Cup
Hit
Leicester City U21
Real Sociedad B
Prediction for Leicester City U21 — Real Sociedad B
65%probability
Read more
Premier League International Cup
Hit
Nottingham Forest U21
Sporting CP B
Prediction for Nottingham Forest U21 — Sporting CP B
66%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Hit
Tzeirey Tira
FC Jerusalem
Prediction for Tzeirey Tira — FC Jerusalem
48%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Miss
Hapoel Beit Shean
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Prediction for Hapoel Beit Shean — Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Slight edge: Ironi Baka El Garbiya
40%probability
Read more
Gulf Cup of Nations
Miss
United Arab Emirates
Qatar
Prediction for United Arab Emirates — Qatar
75%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Hit
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Dimona
Prediction for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda — Dimona
50%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Hit
Maccabi Ashdod
Holon Yermiyahu
Prediction for Maccabi Ashdod — Holon Yermiyahu
41%probability
Read more
UEFA Women's Champions League
Hit
Malmö FF Women
St. Pölten Women
Prediction for Malmö FF Women — St. Pölten Women
82%probability
Read more
UEFA Women's Champions League
Hit
Czarni Sosnowiec Women
Breiðablik Women
Prediction for Czarni Sosnowiec Women — Breiðablik Women
67%probability
Read more
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Hit
Kosovo U21
Cyprus U21
Prediction for Kosovo U21 — Cyprus U21
68%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Miss
Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Tzeirey Tamra
Prediction for Hapoel Nof HaGalil — Tzeirey Tamra
81%probability
Read more
Liga Alef
Hit
Nordia Jerusalem
Hapoel Hadera
Prediction for Nordia Jerusalem — Hapoel Hadera
80%probability
Read more
UEFA Champions League Women
Hit
Roma Women
Barcelona Women
Prediction for Roma Women — Barcelona Women
55%probability
Read more
UEFA Champions League Women
Miss
Paris FC Women
Arsenal Women
Prediction for Paris FC Women — Arsenal Women
77%probability
Read more
UEFA Champions League Women
Miss
Häcken
Juventus Women
Prediction for Häcken — Juventus Women
82%probability
Read more
UEFA Women's Champions League
Hit
Eintracht Frankfurt Women
FH Hafnarfjörður Women
Prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt Women — FH Hafnarfjörður Women
Win: Eintracht Frankfurt Women
77%probability
Read more
UEFA Women's Champions League
Hit
Sturm Graz Women
VfL Wolfsburg Women
Prediction for Sturm Graz Women — VfL Wolfsburg Women
67%probability
Read more
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Hit
Poland U21
Sweden U21
Prediction for Poland U21 — Sweden U21
68%probability
Read more
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Hit
Romania U21
Finland U21
Prediction for Romania U21 — Finland U21
44%probability
Read more
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Hit
Malta U21
Germany U21
Prediction for Malta U21 — Germany U21
71%probability
Read more
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
How a forecast is made
First the attacking and defensive strength of each side is worked out from matches played, adjusted for the opposition faced: goals against a bottom club and against a leader are not worth the same. Expected goals follow from those figures, and the outcome probabilities from them.
What data goes in
Match results from the past two years, weighted so that a recent game counts for more than one from last season. League position, head-to-head history and, in football, the average bookmakers' line. Injuries and suspensions are gathered separately and appear in the write-up.
What the probability means
Sixty per cent means that, were the match played many times over, the outcome would come up in roughly six cases out of ten. In four it would not — and that is not an error in the calculation but the nature of an estimate.
Limits of a forecast
The calculation knows nothing that is not in the data: a coach dismissed on the eve, the weather, a side rested before a European tie. For clubs with two or three matches behind them there is not enough to go on at all, and no forecast is made.