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Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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A.S.E. Douka vs PAOK: match prediction on 5 October 2026
A.S.E. Douka
PAOK
Prediction for
Win: PAOK
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
37%
1
63%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Oct, 15:05- АСЕ Дука — 7. place, 2 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- ПАОК — 6. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- АСЕ Дука, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- ПАОК, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, АСЕ Дука — 2, 2 draws, ПАОК — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
A.S.E. Douka
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
PAOK
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 9
2A.S.E. Douka
2Draw
5PAOK
- 7 FebPAOK — A.S.E. Douka31:27
- 1 Feb 2025A.S.E. Douka — PAOK29:29
- 5 Oct 2024PAOK — A.S.E. Douka23:23
- 6 Apr 2024A.S.E. Douka — PAOK22:27
- 27 Jan 2024A.S.E. Douka — PAOK32:35
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Oct, 15:05PAOK win at A.S.E. Douka. The model expects 30.7 goals for the visitors against 26.7 for the hosts, and the head-to-head record shows PAOK have won 4 of 8 meetings with only 2 draws and 2 A.S.E. Douka victories.
Unbeaten starts, different trajectories
Both sides carry unbeaten records into this fixture, but the paths diverge. A.S.E. Douka have played 3 matches, earning 2 points from 1 win and 2 draws. PAOK have completed just 2 games but sit level on 2 points with 1 victory and 1 draw. The visitors' recent form shows 3 wins and 2 losses across their last 5 outings, while Douka managed only 2 wins and 3 defeats in the same span. PAOK scored 153 goals and conceded 123 in that period; Douka netted 148 and let in 160.
PAOK's historical dominance
Over the past eight encounters PAOK have taken 4 wins to A.S.E. Douka's 2, with 2 draws separating them. The most recent meeting on 07.02.2026 ended 31:27 to PAOK. Two previous fixtures produced draws — 29:29 on 01.02.2025 and 23:23 on 05.10.2024. The pattern suggests PAOK have consistently found a way to win when it mattered, though Douka have held their own on occasion.
Model projections
The simulation projects PAOK to score 30.7 goals on average, A.S.E. Douka 26.7. Those figures point toward a visitors' victory with a margin of around 4 goals.
Scenario analysis
A draw would undermine the prediction. A.S.E. Douka have drawn 2 of their 3 league games already, and the head-to-head shows 2 draws in 8 meetings. A stalemate would suit neither side given the model's 0% draw probability, but the visitors' tendency to control games could work against them if Douka sit deep and frustrate. The main threat is a scoreline that keeps the gap within 1 goal — something PAOK have conceded in 2 of their last 5 matches.