Agrykola Warszawa Women vs AZS AWF Warszawa Women: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Agrykola Warszawa Women are favourites to win this I Liga Women handball fixture on Saturday, 19 September 2026. They have taken both points from their two meetings with AZS AWF Warszawa this season, and the model expects them to score more goals. The hosts average 30.4 goals per game from their last five outings compared with 23.2 for the visitors, and their recent results include a 42:33 victory over AZS AWF at home in November 2025. The head-to-head record runs entirely in Agrykola's favour, with both victories coming by single-digit margins, the away win being particularly narrow. The visitors have not won a meeting between these sides in the available data, and their last visit to Agrykola's venue ended in a nine-goal defeat.

Both sides arrive with identical records of one win and four defeats from their last five matches, but the quality of those results differs. Agrykola scored 152 goals while conceding 173, whereas AZS AWF managed only 116 goals for and 134 against. The visitors' sole victory came against Rzeszów at home on 20 April 2026, a 23:18 result that stands as their best defensive performance this season. Agrykola's win came away at Radom II on 21 April with a 34:26 scoreline, suggesting they can produce higher-scoring games.

The model projects 32.4 goals for Agrykola and 28.8 for AZS AWF, giving the hosts a 3.6-goal advantage. The probability figures show 0% for a draw, and 0% for a three-goal margin — figures that reflect the expected separation between the sides rather than a close contest. Agrykola's higher expected output aligns with their superior goal-scoring record across both recent form and head-to-head meetings.

The projection fails if AZS AWF can replicate their defensive solidity from the Rzeszów match, where they conceded only 18 goals. A performance closer to that standard would bring their expected concession rate down from the 26.8 per game average, narrowing the gap the model identifies. The visitors would also need to improve their attack beyond 23.2 goals per game to challenge Agrykola's consistency, which has seen them score 34 or more in two of their five recent fixtures.