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Alavarium Women vs Madeira Andebol SAD Women: match prediction on 6 September 2026

1ª Divisão Women Pavilhão Municipal Mariana Lopes Aveiro Hit Match page
Alavarium Women Madeira Andebol SAD Women

Prediction for

Win: Madeira Andebol SAD Women

63%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

37% 1
63% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:00

Madeira Andebol SAD Women to win

Alavarium cannot reverse their fortunes against a side that has dominated them across every meeting in recent years. Madeira have won all five head-to-head fixtures, often by comfortable margins, and the model expects them to score 28.5 goals to Alavarium's 24.

Madeira have won all five head-to-head fixtures. That dominance carries weight even though both teams have played just one match in the current season.

Current league positions reflect the same hierarchy. Madeira sit seventh with three points from a single win, while Alavarium languish tenth after drawing their opener. The points gap is small — two points — but Madeira beat [Opponent]; Alavarium drew with [Opponent].

Recent form shows both sides are potent in attack. Alavarium scored 136 goals in five matches, averaging 27.2 per game, while Madeira netted 150, averaging 30. The model's expectation of 24 goals for Alavarium sits below their recent average, suggesting a drop in output. Madeira's expected 28.5 goals aligns with their scoring rate and the pattern of their dominance over this fixture.

The model assigns a 0% draw probability, reflecting their five winless meetings.

Starting goalkeeper ruled out.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:00
  • Алавариум Женщины — 7. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Мадейра Андебол САД Женщины — 3. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Алавариум Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Мадейра Андебол САД Женщины, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Алавариум Женщины — 0, Мадейра Андебол САД Женщины — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Alavarium Women WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Madeira Andebol SAD Women WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 5

0Alavarium Women 0Draw 5Madeira Andebol SAD Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+