Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Alavarium Women
Madeira Andebol SAD Women
Prediction for
Win: Madeira Andebol SAD Women
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:00Madeira Andebol SAD Women to win
Alavarium cannot reverse their fortunes against a side that has dominated them across every meeting in recent years. Madeira have won all five head-to-head fixtures, often by comfortable margins, and the model expects them to score 28.5 goals to Alavarium's 24.
Madeira have won all five head-to-head fixtures. That dominance carries weight even though both teams have played just one match in the current season.
Current league positions reflect the same hierarchy. Madeira sit seventh with three points from a single win, while Alavarium languish tenth after drawing their opener. The points gap is small — two points — but Madeira beat [Opponent]; Alavarium drew with [Opponent].
Recent form shows both sides are potent in attack. Alavarium scored 136 goals in five matches, averaging 27.2 per game, while Madeira netted 150, averaging 30. The model's expectation of 24 goals for Alavarium sits below their recent average, suggesting a drop in output. Madeira's expected 28.5 goals aligns with their scoring rate and the pattern of their dominance over this fixture.
The model assigns a 0% draw probability, reflecting their five winless meetings.
Starting goalkeeper ruled out.