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Amenabar vs Burgos: match prediction on 13 September 2026

División de Honor Plata Aritzbatalde Udal Kiroldegia Zarautz Miss Match page
Amenabar Burgos

Prediction for

Win: Burgos

61%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

39% 1
61% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:13

The Model’s Projection

A statistical model anticipated a victory for Burgos, expecting them to score 29.1 goals against 25.1 for Amenabar. The calculation carried a 61 per cent confidence level in the visitors' success, with a zero per cent probability assigned to a draw or a match featuring three or more goals. The model did not account for the specific outcome of this fixture.

Historical Context

The teams had met four times in recent years, with Burgos holding a 3-1 advantage in victories. The previous encounter on 23 February 2025 ended in a 27-25 win for Amenabar, breaking a run of results that had favoured the visitors. Prior to that, Burgos had won three of the four meetings, including a 40-30 victory at home in September 2022.

Current Form

Both sides entered the fixture with identical records from their last five matches: three wins, two defeats, and no draws. Amenabar had scored 94 goals while conceding 89, whereas Burgos had netted 142 goals and let in 143. Amenabar’s recent form included a 3-0 win over Balonmano Soria, while Burgos had secured a 33-29 victory against BM Guadalajara in a friendly.

Verification Issues

Despite the detailed statistics provided, external verification of the match data proved impossible. Public searches found no evidence of "Amenabar" or "Burgos" as handball teams in any database. The league name "División de Honor Plata" could not be verified, as the Spanish second division is typically known as the Primera División. Additionally, one news item referenced a basketball player, suggesting potential data contamination. Consequently, no factual report of the match result can be produced as the event itself could not be confirmed.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 17:13
  • Аменабар, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Бургос, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Аменабар — 1, Бургос — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Amenabar LWWDL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Burgos WLWDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 4

1Amenabar 0Draw 3Burgos
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+