Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Esbjerg Women
København Håndbold Women
Prediction for
Win: Esbjerg Women
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 12
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 18:08Esbjerg Women are the clear favourites against København Håndbold Women, and the data leaves no room for doubt. København have not taken a single point from this fixture in the recorded history. Esbjerg are expected to score 32.7 goals and København 25.6, a gap that mirrors the margin in their most recent encounter.
Form and momentum
Esbjerg come into this match with four wins from five, scoring 168 goals and conceding 145. Their most recent result was a 33:28 away win against Ringkøbing, followed by a 33:25 Super Cup victory over Odense. København's form is less convincing: two wins and three losses in five games, with 154 goals scored and 164 conceded. Their last outing was a narrow 30:29 home win over SønderjyskE, but they have lost three of their previous four league matches. The disparity in goal difference—plus 23 for Esbjerg versus minus 10 for København—tells the story.
Head-to-head dominance
Even when København hosted, they could not turn the tide. København have never managed to hold Esbjerg to a single point in this fixture.
What the numbers say
32.7 goals are projected for Esbjerg and 25.6 for København. That 7.1-goal difference aligns with the average margin in their recent encounters. The 0% probability for both teams scoring is puzzling at first glance, but handball matches with this imbalance often see one side fail to reach their expected output.
When the prediction fails
This conclusion rests on København playing to their recent level. If they produce a performance closer to their 41:36 win over Viborg in March, where they scored heavily, the margin could narrow significantly. København have shown they can score 40-plus goals when conditions suit them. A second half where they find their rhythm could change the game entirely. Esbjerg must not underestimate their opponents' capacity for bursts of scoring.