Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Plan de Cuques Women
Dijon Women
Prediction for
Win: Plan de Cuques Women
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08Dijon Women take this match. The model places their expected goals at 26.7 to 26.9 — a tight margin that still favours the visitors who have dominated this fixture for years. They have won four of their last five games, including the most recent encounter against Plan de Cuques.
Plan de Cuques have lost three of their last five matches, picking up just six points from those games. Their defensive frailty shows through in the losses against Metz Women, Brest Bretagne Women, and Dijon, despite beating Achenheim Truchtersheim 34:24 at home and Paris 92 31:29 away.
Dijon's form is stronger. Four wins from five matches, including a narrow victory over Plan de Cuques 27:26 on 31 May. They lost only once, away to Stella Sports Saint-Maur 26:27. Their attacking output has been stronger, with 149 goals scored against 139 conceded.
Plan de Cuques' only win in that span came against Dijon in February 2024, but even that was followed by three straight defeats.
The model expects 26.9 goals for Plan de Cuques and 26.7 for Dijon, a difference of just 0.2 goals. This narrow gap suggests Dijon are more likely to edge it. A win for Dijon would not hold if Plan de Cuques find their shooting accuracy in the final fifteen minutes, or if the visitors' defensive organisation collapses early.