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Baekkelaget vs Kragerø HK: match prediction on 27 September 2026

1. Division Nordstrand Arena Oslo Hit Match page
Baekkelaget Kragerø HK

Prediction for

Win: Baekkelaget

80%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

80% 1
20% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 15:35

Baekkelaget extend unbeaten run

Baekkelaget remain unbeaten in the 1. Division after four matches, while Kragerø HK continue their winless campaign with a third consecutive draw. The visitors hold 0 points from three games and sit in 13th place, while the hosts have collected 6 points following three wins and one draw.

Recent form contrasts

Baekkelaget have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five outings, scoring 159 goals and conceding 140. Recent results include a 38-32 away victory over Lillestrom and a 38-20 home win against Tiller. Kragerø HK HK have lost all five of their last five matches, failing to win a single game and conceding 192 goals while scoring only 126. Their last outing ended in a 24-41 defeat at home to Halden.

Standings implications

The league table places Baekkelaget in second position after four games, with Kragerø HK HK bottom of the top half in 13th place, while the visitors have yet to secure a victory in any competition this season.

Model expectations comparison

Statistical predictions for this fixture indicated a high-scoring home performance, with Baekkelaget expected to score 90.9 goals and Kragerø HK HK 8.8. The model assigned a 0% probability for a draw or both teams scoring, suggesting a one-sided result was anticipated based on the data available.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 15:35
  • Беккелагет — 2. place, 6 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Крагерё ХК — 13. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Беккелагет, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Крагерё ХК, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Baekkelaget WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Kragerø HK LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+