Fjellhammer IL Women vs Sola Women: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Sola Women to win. The visitors have won the only meeting between these sides, carry better recent form, and the model expects them to score 33.9 goals to Fjellhammer's 23.2. That gap is enough.

Form tells the story

Fjellhammer have lost four of their last five matches, collecting just three points from 130 goals scored and 142 conceded. Their sole victory came away at Lillestrøm HK in the NM Cup on 26 August, a 38:29 result that masked an otherwise poor run. They lost 23:26 away to Molde on 30 August and dropped points at home against both Byåsen and Gjerpen in friendlies.

Sola Women sit slightly higher with two wins from five, six points and a goal difference of 164:126. Their victories came at home against Fredrikstad on 30 August (33:20) and away at Fyllingen in the NM Cup on 26 August (53:20). They have lost three matches but those defeats were closer — 29:31 to Larvik and 26:27 to Viborg in friendlies, plus 23:28 at home to Storhamar in the league.

The head-to-head

The two sides met once, on 31 January 2026, when Sola Women won 34:28 away in the REMA 1000-ligaen. That result matters more than the number of meetings. Sola showed they could score freely and defend adequately on Fjellhammer's patch. The visitors took all three points and have carried that confidence forward.

What the model sees

The simulation gives Fjellhammer 23.2 expected goals and Sola Women 33.9. The draw probability sits at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%. These figures do not predict a single outcome but show the distribution across thousands of simulated matches. Sola's expected output is over ten goals higher, and the model sees no scenario where the sides finish level.

Conditions that break the prediction

A draw suits Fjellhammer — they have nothing to lose and could sit deep. If Sola Women underperform their expected goals significantly, or if Fjellhammer play above their recent form, the conclusion stops holding. The model knows nothing of injuries or tactical changes; it runs on past goals scored and conceded. A shift in either direction would change the picture.

. The data points one way: better form, the head-to-head, and the model's expectations all align for Sola Women. The gap is not narrow, but handball is unpredictable, and a single match can turn on moments the averages cannot capture.