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Hamburg vs TV Stuttgart: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Bundesliga Sporthalle Hamburg Hamburg Miss Match page
Hamburg TV Stuttgart

Prediction for

Win: TV Stuttgart

51%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

49% 1
51% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02

TV Stuttgart are the favourites here. Their five straight wins contrast with Hamburg's mixed recent results, and the model puts them at 30.8 expected goals against Hamburg's 30.3. The home side's historical dominance in this fixture could prove decisive.

Hamburg's last five matches read three wins and two losses. They beat Braunschweig 39:28 away in the DHB Pokal and ThSV Eisenach 40:33 on the road in the Bundesliga, but lost to HBW Balingen-Weilstetten 26:30 and Fredericia HK 30:31. The away form has been shaky — only one victory in three away outings.

TV Stuttgart have not dropped a point in five games. The 30:29 win over Bergischer HC at home was tight, but the 39:26 away victory against Horkheim and the 37:33 win over Flensburg-Handewitt showed they can dominate. Their goal difference of 24 in five matches shows they are controlling games more effectively than Hamburg.

The head-to-head record runs in Hamburg's favour — five wins to two across eight meetings. But the most recent encounter ended 31:26 in Hamburg's favour at home. Before that, TV Stuttgart lost 33:36 away in August 2025. The visitors have won only twice in this fixture, and the last time they did so was in April 2024.

Hamburg sit 17th in the table with zero points after one match, while TV Stuttgart occupy 9th with two points from a single victory. The model's expected goals of 30.8 to 30.3 point to a narrow visitors' win. Hamburg's home advantage and historical superiority in this pairing could prove decisive.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02
  • Гамбург — 17. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • ТВ Штутгарт — 9. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Гамбург, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • ТВ Штутгарт, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Гамбург — 5, 1 draws, ТВ Штутгарт — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Hamburg LWLDL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
TV Stuttgart WWWDL 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 9

5Hamburg 1Draw 3TV Stuttgart
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+