Horsens Women vs SønderjyskE Women: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Horsens Women are the clear favourites here, and the model backs that with a straight win prediction. The expected-goals figures put them ahead by 1.7 goals, and the draw probability sits at 0%. The conclusion holds if the visitors do not find a way to control the tempo and force the game into a tight, low-scoring affair.

Both sides have opened the season identically on paper. After two matches each, they sit on two points from one win and one draw. Horsens occupy fifth place and SønderjyskE ninth, but the gap between them is less significant than the recent history between the two clubs. The most recent encounter on 27 March 2026 saw Horsens win 32:25 away, which broke a run of poor results for the hosts in this fixture.

Recent form tells a similar story for both teams. Horsens have won two and lost three in their last five matches, scoring 141 goals and conceding 150. SønderjyskE have mirrored that pattern with two wins, three losses, 139 goals scored and 149 conceded. The attacking output is comparable, but the defensive frailties are equally shared. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in that span.

The model projects 27.3 goals for Horsens and 25.6 for SønderjyskE.

The prediction stops holding if SønderjyskE adopt a defensive approach from the opening whistle. They have shown capacity to grind out results, as seen in their 29:23 win over Bjerringbro in April. If they sit deep, force turnovers, and slow the game down, the expected-goals advantage disappears. A draw would suit them, and given how they tend to manage tight fixtures, that is the main threat to the Horsens win.