Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Kopavogur HK: match prediction on 24 September 2026
ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar
Kopavogur HK
Prediction for
Win: ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
58%
1
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 22 Sep, 19:11- ИВБ Вестманнаэйяр — 4. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Копавагюр — 12. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
- ИВБ Вестманнаэйяр, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Копавагюр, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, ИВБ Вестманнаэйяр — 4, Копавагюр — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Kopavogur HK
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 5
4ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar
0Draw
1Kopavogur HK
- 28 Nov 2025Kopavogur HK — ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar28:34
- 26 Mar 2025ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar — Kopavogur HK34:28
- 22 Nov 2024Kopavogur HK — ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar32:24
- 5 Apr 2024Kopavogur HK — ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar33:37
- 29 Nov 2023ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar — Kopavogur HK32:28
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 22 Sep, 19:11ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar win. The visitors have failed to take a single point from three league matches, while the hosts have won four of their last five head-to-head meetings.
Kopavogur HK sit 12th with 0 points after 3 matches, having drawn all three league games. They have not lost in the league yet, but they have not won either. ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar occupy 4th place with 4 points from 2 wins and 1 draw. The gap between them is 4 points after just 3 rounds.
Form comparison
ÍBV's last 5 matches produced 3 wins and 2 losses. They beat Fram 33-30 away and Selfoss 30-27 at home in September, but lost to Haukar 38-29 and Valur 34-28. Kopavogur managed only 1 win in their last 5 outings, a 26-23 home victory against Haukar in March. Their other four matches were defeats, including a 38-29 loss to Valur at home on 16 September. The hosts score more goals on average — 147 in 5 matches compared to Kopavogur's 140.
Head-to-head record
In the last 5 meetings ÍBV have won 4 times. Kopavogur's solitary victory came 32-24 at home in November 2024. The other four matches all went to the hosts: 34-28 in March 2025, 34-28 in November 2025, 33-37 in April 2024, and 32-28 in November 2023. The pattern is consistent — ÍBV win, often by a margin of 6 goals or more.
Model expectations
The model projects 31.8 goals for ÍBV and 28.5 for Kopavogur. The hosts' expected output exceeds the visitors by 3.3 goals.
When the prediction fails
A draw suits Kopavogur's current approach — they have not lost a league match yet and play conservatively. A draw breaks the trend. The visitors' defensive solidity in draws is the only scenario that undermines the home win.
70%