Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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IFK Kristianstad
Prediction for
Win: IFK Kristianstad
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 12:12The numbers don't lie: IFK Kristianstad win is the only outcome the data supports. They sit top of the table with four points from three matches, have won all four head-to-head meetings against LUGI HF, and the model's got this nailed, expecting them to score 92.8 goals to LUGI's 9.9. A draw would break this conclusion, but the model rules out a draw entirely.
IFK Kristianstad have not lost in five matches. They took 13 points from those games, scoring 171 goals and conceding 150. Their most recent result was a 35:29 victory over IFK Ystads at home in the Swedish Cup on 26 August. Before that they won 33:26 away against the same side on 21 August. The only blemish was a 28:28 draw with Karlskrona HF in a club friendly on 8 August. They also beat HK Malmö 41:38 away and 34:29 at home in May.
LUGI HF have three wins, one draw and one loss from their last five matches, collecting 10 points. They scored 147 goals and conceded 139. Their most recent game was a 27:25 home win against Lund in the Swedish Cup on 28 August. They drew 36:36 away to Lund two days later. In April they beat Vasteras Irsta HF 35:28 at home, lost 23:26 away, then won 26:24 away in the same fixture.
The history between these sides is one-sided. IFK Kristianstad won all four matches played since November 2022. LUGI HF have no victories against them in this period.
The model expects IFK Kristianstad to outscore LUGI HF by a wide margin. It gives the draw a 0% chance and says both teams scoring is also 0%. The prediction stops holding if the match ends level, which the model considers impossible.